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Red55
521619.5
514417.1
508424.3
Blue38
523819.6
519710.8
499421.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615401001502002505538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#19
24.30.2
23.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4994
#36
21.40.8
22.621.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5216
#17
19.50.2
19.319.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
5238
#23
19.60.8
20.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5144
#28
17.10.3
17.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
5197
#34
10.81.0
11.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End