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Red159
330214.5
213782.1
523916.7
Blue126
485138.1
309871.5
523317.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95132050150200250300159126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.12.9
75.978.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
71.50.0
72.472.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5239
#27
16.72.9
13.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
38.10.0
37.237.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3302
#39
14.53.2
11.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
5233
#38
17.00.0
17.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End