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Red200
205470.1
49462.7
495627.4
Blue61
357241.1
400434.2
516247.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15912205010020025030035020061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.8
67.768.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.9
5162
#15
47.21.1
49.047.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#2
62.70.8
60.461.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
3572
#12
41.11.1
42.941.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4956
#18
27.40.8
25.025.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
4004
#11
34.21.1
36.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End