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Red166
85851.6
387519.4
400434.2
Blue115
432722.7
207545.7
525530.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8696050150200250300166115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
51.63.9
45.149.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2075
#16
45.71.0
52.253.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4004
#11
34.23.9
24.228.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
5255
#27
30.21.7
16.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3875
#37
19.46.5
18.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
4327
#13
22.71.0
25.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End