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Red160
448228.4
191870.5
335747.3
Blue100
345824.3
240519.2
277148.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10870050150200160100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.52.9
63.065.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
2771
#22
48.31.2
47.348.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3357
#25
47.34.8
30.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.0
3458
#32
24.32.0
14.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4482
#10
28.42.9
8.311.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
2405
#30
19.22.0
14.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End