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Red165
400363.4
445311.6
10774.5
Blue102
323437.6
506929.2
495627.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13862050100150200250165102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#9
74.51.9
78.180.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.9
3234
#14
37.61.6
43.645.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63.41.9
34.236.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.2
5069
#23
29.29.7
26.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4453
#34
11.61.9
14.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
4956
#18
27.41.4
16.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End