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Red131
150625.0
191870.5
525530.2
Blue187
495627.4
167719.3
516121.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134430100150200250300131187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.50.6
64.364.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.0
4956
#18
27.46.5
23.329.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5255
#27
30.20.9
29.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
5161
#19
21.86.5
16.623.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1506
#38
25.00.6
26.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1677
#39
19.36.5
17.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End