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Red78
90420.3
400434.2
24723.4
Blue16
167719.3
525530.2
345824.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71870501001502002507816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#11
34.20.2
31.531.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
5255
#27
30.24.6
30.926.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
247
#21
23.40.2
24.624.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3458
#32
24.34.6
30.525.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#24
20.30.3
17.017.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1677
#39
19.33.4
23.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End