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Red100
85851.6
531623.8
423714.2
Blue195
433732.0
525530.2
400434.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9278050150200250300100195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
51.60.5
51.452.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
4004
#11
34.25.7
30.336.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5316
#31
23.80.6
24.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
4337
#20
32.06.4
26.032.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4237
#40
14.20.6
13.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
5255
#27
30.26.4
23.830.2
Auto
Teleop
End