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Red126
7467.2
7081.8
531623.8
Blue176
207545.7
10774.5
277148.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17617050100150200250300126176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#3
81.80.8
82.681.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
107
#9
74.50.1
75.275.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
74
#1
67.20.8
68.167.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
2771
#22
48.30.1
49.049.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5316
#31
23.80.8
24.623.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
2075
#16
45.70.1
46.446.5
Auto
Teleop
End