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Red115
49462.7
495627.4
205470.1
Blue176
191870.5
14128.1
496758.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157162050100200250300350115176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.7
69.268.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
70.50.2
71.872.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#2
62.70.7
61.861.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
58.30.2
59.659.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4956
#18
27.40.7
26.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
141
#35
28.10.3
29.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End