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Red151
205470.1
495627.4
49462.7
Blue145
496758.3
14128.1
191870.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154163050100200250300350400151145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.1
68.468.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
70.50.3
72.171.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#2
62.70.1
61.161.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
58.30.3
59.959.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4956
#18
27.40.1
25.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
141
#35
28.10.3
29.929.6
Auto
Teleop
End