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Red132
462422.8
282648.5
517253.6
Blue128
249130.9
305515.5
320630.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137640100200250300132128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.1
53.753.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
2491
#19
30.91.1
30.331.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.50.1
48.648.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
3206
#10
30.81.1
30.131.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4624
#24
22.80.1
22.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
3055
#28
15.51.2
14.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End