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Qual 12014 Northern Lights Regional
Red111
462422.8
467110.7
2753.6
Blue24
319717.7
527813.6
47034.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions763205010015020011124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
53.63.5
42.1→45.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 35.9
3197
#25
17.71.2
13.7→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4624
#24
22.83.5
19.6→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.1
5278
#40
13.60.9
13.6→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4671
#43
10.73.5
7.6→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
4703
#53
4.61.2
10.9→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—