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Qual 102014 Northern Lights Regional
Red23
37234.2
251824.7
251243.7
Blue6
284617.4
416615.8
467412.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8930050150200250236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#16
43.74.8
41.3→36.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.3
2846
#42
17.42.8
13.8→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2518
#23
24.74.8
27.2→22.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.9
4166
#38
15.82.8
13.3→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3723
#47
4.24.8
11.7→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.6
4674
#52
12.82.8
12.6→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—