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Red5
47034.6
46939.0
30369.4
Blue75
171610.3
313041.4
329824.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2464050100150200250575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3036
#50
9.42.1
11.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.9
3130
#26
41.41.5
23.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4693
#41
9.02.1
9.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.2
3298
#12
24.21.5
14.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4703
#53
4.62.1
9.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1716
#31
10.31.5
19.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End