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Red85
517253.6
416615.8
222017.7
Blue38
465633.0
313041.4
284617.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627101001502002503008538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.8
27.329.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
3130
#26
41.42.7
25.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2220
#34
17.71.8
25.727.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
33.02.7
30.027.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4166
#38
15.81.8
10.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2846
#42
17.42.7
14.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End