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Red116
375012.8
527813.6
467412.8
Blue43
30369.4
253823.1
422628.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23360608010012014016011643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5278
#40
13.67.6
7.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
4226
#15
28.90.7
10.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4674
#52
12.87.6
7.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
2538
#13
23.10.7
15.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3750
#44
12.87.6
10.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3036
#50
9.40.7
8.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End