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Red126
375419.2
178127.4
517253.6
Blue48
375012.8
251824.7
319717.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6458010015020012648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.65.2
29.734.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
2518
#23
24.70.9
22.221.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1781
#20
27.45.2
18.223.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
3197
#25
17.70.9
18.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3754
#27
19.25.2
15.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
3750
#44
12.80.9
18.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End