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Red10
222017.7
41989.1
46939.0
Blue30
47034.6
523214.2
305515.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473701001502001030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#34
17.72.9
21.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3055
#28
15.50.7
16.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4198
#49
9.12.9
13.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
5232
#46
14.20.7
15.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4693
#41
9.02.9
10.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4703
#53
4.60.7
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End