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Red50
465722.0
288344.5
467412.8
Blue150
35976.0
329824.2
416615.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659705015020025050150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#18
44.51.7
42.140.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.4
359
#4
76.04.8
61.165.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4657
#22
22.01.7
15.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3298
#12
24.24.8
16.521.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4674
#52
12.81.7
12.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4166
#38
15.84.8
14.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End