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Red80
305626.5
422628.9
284617.4
Blue72
338112.9
462327.7
375419.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495801001502008072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#15
28.92.5
17.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
4623
#21
27.71.3
21.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3056
#11
26.52.5
21.624.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
3754
#27
19.21.3
20.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2846
#42
17.42.5
10.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3381
#54
12.91.3
13.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End