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Red52
37234.2
375419.2
462422.8
Blue56
30369.4
250622.0
257418.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434701002003004005006005256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#24
22.80.7
22.122.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2506
#17
22.00.8
17.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3754
#27
19.20.7
19.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2574
#32
18.00.8
21.121.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3723
#47
4.20.7
2.43.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
3036
#50
9.40.8
8.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End