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Red12
375012.8
416615.8
423820.8
Blue51
87644.1
525314.3
171610.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607201001502002503001251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4238
#14
20.83.9
24.820.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.3
876
#9
44.11.5
45.143.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4166
#38
15.83.9
16.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
5253
#37
14.31.5
12.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3750
#44
12.83.9
20.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1716
#31
10.31.6
13.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End