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Qual 782014 Northern Lights Regional
Red111
453118.9
416615.8
422628.9
Blue61
319717.7
462422.8
523214.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5154020408010012014016011161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#15
28.94.7
23.0→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
4624
#24
22.80.5
22.7→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4531
#39
18.94.3
15.7→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
3197
#25
17.70.5
17.2→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4166
#38
15.84.3
12.4→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
5232
#46
14.20.5
13.6→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—