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Red146
321226.9
222017.7
288344.5
Blue33
250228.2
30369.4
375419.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7752010015020014633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#18
44.54.8
40.245.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
2502
#30
28.21.8
24.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3212
#45
26.95.2
20.025.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3754
#27
19.21.5
20.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2220
#34
17.75.2
13.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
3036
#50
9.41.5
11.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End