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Red171
369219.0
301854.5
205245.3
Blue177
304233.6
252633.1
306134.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12796050150200250171177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.1
55.756.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
3061
#13
34.41.7
34.336.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.31.0
46.347.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
33.61.6
33.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3692
#38
19.01.0
20.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
2526
#30
33.11.6
32.934.5
Auto
Teleop
End