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Red80
529929.5
484541.9
171439.2
Blue100
529023.6
400936.5
481826.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137905010015020025080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.6
41.140.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
4009
#24
36.50.3
36.036.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1714
#22
39.20.6
38.437.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
4818
#37
26.60.3
26.126.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5299
#23
29.50.6
28.728.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
23.60.3
22.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End