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Quarterfinal 4-32014 Lake Superior Regional
Red120
171439.2
484541.9
529929.5
Blue121
529023.6
400936.5
481826.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11680050100150200250120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4845
#3
41.90.2
41.7→41.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
4009
#24
36.50.7
36.2→36.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1714
#22
39.20.2
39.0→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
4818
#37
26.60.7
26.3→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5299
#23
29.50.2
29.3→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
5290
#7
23.60.7
22.8→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—