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Red51
329715.7
378810.6
384611.2
Blue88
375537.0
451125.3
304233.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37660501001502002503005188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#51
15.70.8
16.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
3755
#17
37.02.3
22.524.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3846
#43
11.20.8
15.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
33.62.3
16.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3788
#56
10.60.8
9.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
4511
#18
25.32.3
22.324.5
Auto
Teleop
End