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Red140
405415.4
484541.9
382817.0
Blue70
418114.6
327736.8
247918.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5161010015020025030014070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.97.3
25.833.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
3277
#32
36.80.9
35.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3828
#36
17.07.3
12.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2479
#26
18.50.9
6.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4054
#31
15.47.3
14.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
4181
#35
14.60.9
18.219.0
Auto
Teleop
End