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Red65
384024.9
369219.0
401117.6
Blue56
306134.4
181632.7
249914.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567301001502006556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3840
#12
24.90.5
24.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
3061
#13
34.41.2
27.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3692
#38
19.00.5
20.521.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
1816
#16
32.71.2
28.327.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4011
#29
17.60.5
13.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2499
#41
14.01.2
15.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End