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Red60
384611.2
181632.7
383913.0
Blue156
247918.5
514318.6
252633.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147010015060156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#16
32.70.8
27.127.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2526
#30
33.18.5
23.732.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3839
#50
13.00.8
12.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
5143
#27
18.68.5
14.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3846
#43
11.20.8
10.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
2479
#26
18.58.5
9.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End