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Red28
534017.5
252633.1
405415.4
Blue90
401117.6
374014.1
423019.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514102060801001201401602890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#30
33.11.8
19.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
4230
#42
19.44.0
12.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5340
#28
17.55.3
17.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4011
#29
17.64.0
17.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4054
#31
15.41.8
15.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3740
#55
14.14.0
12.016.0
Auto
Teleop
End