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Red141
304237.4
477835.5
217743.6
Blue116
313053.3
392618.6
181654.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112130050100150200250141116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.4
43.243.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
54.80.2
55.054.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3042
#20
37.40.4
36.937.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
53.30.2
53.553.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4778
#26
35.50.6
35.035.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
3926
#24
18.60.3
18.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End