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Red272
96763.6
460742.4
217579.1
Blue120
249144.8
222037.2
388345.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2021140300400272120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.4
80.081.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.5
3883
#29
45.50.1
45.745.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
967
#1
63.61.4
64.565.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
2491
#11
44.80.1
44.944.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4607
#15
42.41.9
43.645.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2220
#18
37.20.1
37.337.2
Auto
Teleop
End