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Red87
448022.9
392618.6
463215.1
Blue47
327519.7
216925.4
464811.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497701001502008747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4480
#34
22.92.8
14.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2169
#48
25.41.4
30.128.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3926
#24
18.62.8
21.424.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3275
#52
19.72.1
26.424.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4632
#22
15.12.8
17.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4648
#57
11.52.1
16.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End