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Red135
477835.5
249144.8
527523.5
Blue27
253133.4
329824.7
36908.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6351010015020013527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#11
44.83.7
34.237.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
2531
#35
33.42.1
15.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4778
#26
35.56.1
14.220.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3298
#53
24.71.3
21.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5275
#25
23.56.1
13.019.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
3690
#49
8.92.1
16.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End