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Red156
222037.2
423933.9
388345.5
Blue157
320643.0
298922.3
304237.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57900100150200156157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#29
45.54.7
22.427.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
43.03.6
33.236.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2220
#18
37.24.7
20.124.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3042
#20
37.43.6
34.538.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4239
#31
33.97.8
19.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
2989
#41
22.36.0
16.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End