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Red134
253220.4
181654.8
212942.5
Blue97
466531.1
313053.3
252521.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719205015020013497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.83.0
34.537.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
53.30.4
42.943.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2129
#27
42.55.0
18.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4665
#40
31.10.7
23.524.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2532
#33
20.45.0
21.226.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2525
#50
21.60.7
22.423.1
Auto
Teleop
End