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Red66
260620.9
477835.5
313053.3
Blue6
464811.5
463215.1
309030.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86440100150200666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.7
47.947.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
3090
#14
30.13.7
18.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4778
#26
35.51.1
23.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
4632
#22
15.13.7
17.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2606
#17
20.91.1
8.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
4648
#57
11.53.7
14.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End