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Red167
217579.1
326116.8
468740.4
Blue106
254922.7
423933.9
252521.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133620100150200250300167106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.12.2
69.872.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 45.2
4239
#31
33.92.7
29.932.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4687
#19
40.43.7
32.736.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
2549
#21
22.72.7
14.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3261
#46
16.83.7
19.823.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
2525
#50
21.62.7
28.531.2
Auto
Teleop
End