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Red136
527523.5
424437.7
217743.6
Blue114
222037.2
448022.9
464811.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101520150200250136114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.1
36.638.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2220
#18
37.22.7
27.330.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.73.6
33.737.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
4480
#34
22.94.6
21.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5275
#25
23.53.6
22.726.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
4648
#57
11.54.6
10.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End