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Red22
36908.9
214312.7
326116.8
Blue82
463215.1
247248.4
329031.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710001502002502282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3261
#46
16.82.7
23.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.6
48.40.5
48.548.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2143
#56
12.72.7
17.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.9
3290
#30
31.60.8
25.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3690
#49
8.92.7
14.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
4632
#22
15.10.8
17.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End