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Red57
304237.4
257414.3
214312.7
Blue93
424437.7
249144.8
392618.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695701001502002503005793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3042
#20
37.40.6
33.632.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
2491
#11
44.82.1
30.933.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2574
#54
14.30.7
18.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.4
37.72.8
13.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2143
#56
12.70.9
15.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
3926
#24
18.62.8
14.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End