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Red166
249144.8
222037.2
329343.6
Blue111
288353.1
427723.4
533924.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11287050150200250300166111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#11
44.82.9
41.944.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
2883
#16
53.11.0
43.244.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3293
#10
43.64.5
38.042.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
5339
#51
24.01.6
24.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2220
#18
37.22.9
28.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
4277
#45
23.41.6
22.424.0
Auto
Teleop
End