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Red126
392864.1
329031.6
392618.6
Blue291
217579.1
288353.1
247248.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95172050150200250300126291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#12
64.10.9
64.565.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
79.16.5
71.478.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3290
#30
31.61.3
25.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
2883
#16
53.16.5
44.350.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3926
#24
18.61.4
17.218.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.8
48.46.5
44.350.9
Auto
Teleop
End