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Red157
254922.7
212942.5
424437.7
Blue97
388345.5
327519.7
265416.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977705015020025015797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#27
42.54.9
38.143.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3883
#29
45.50.8
43.644.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.74.5
36.140.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
3275
#52
19.71.2
21.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2549
#21
22.74.5
19.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2654
#58
16.61.2
15.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End