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Red23
384830.3
363318.2
476244.4
Blue21
298922.3
463215.1
527523.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554001001502002502321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4762
#13
44.42.5
19.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
5275
#25
23.511.3
23.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.32.5
16.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2989
#41
22.31.8
14.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3633
#36
18.22.5
17.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4632
#22
15.11.8
14.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End