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Red107
329824.7
369926.6
468740.4
Blue125
217743.6
369122.1
466531.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9085050150200250300350107125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4687
#19
40.41.2
40.041.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
43.62.0
36.438.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3699
#43
26.61.2
25.426.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4665
#40
31.12.6
29.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3298
#53
24.70.9
23.824.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3691
#28
22.12.9
19.222.1
Auto
Teleop
End